SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
39.71% ( -0.12) | 25.37% ( -0.06) | 34.92% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.31) | 47.54% ( -0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.26% ( 0.29) | 69.74% ( -0.28) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.32% ( 0.08) | 23.68% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.2% ( 0.11) | 57.8% ( -0.1) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.68% ( 0.26) | 26.32% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.55% ( 0.35) | 61.45% ( -0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.02% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.32% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 8% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.56% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 34.92% |
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