Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Reading had a probability of 20.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a Reading win it was 1-0 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
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