Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 40.32%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
