Accrington
0 - 2
Sunderland

Nottingham (20'), Smyth (53')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stewart (62'), Wyke (86')
Gooch (45+1'), McGeady (58')

Build‑up

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 22.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 1-0 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Sunderland
22.52%	24.11%	53.36%

Both teams to score 51.81%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.62%

49.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.57%

71.42%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.52%

36.47%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.74%

73.26%

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.56%

18.44%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.39%

49.61%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 22.52%

Sunderland 53.35%

Draw 24.11%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Sunderland
1-0 @ 6.78% 2-1 @ 5.78% 2-0 @ 3.42% 3-1 @ 1.94% 3-2 @ 1.64% 3-0 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.8% Total : 22.52%	1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 4.89% 3-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 11.36% 1-2 @ 9.7% 0-2 @ 9.61% 1-3 @ 5.46% 0-3 @ 5.42% 2-3 @ 2.76% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 2.29% 2-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 3.28% Total : 53.35%