SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 54.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 22.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
54.07% ( -0.01) | 23.15% ( 0) | 22.78% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 55.23% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55% ( 0.01) | 45% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.65% ( 0.01) | 67.35% ( -0.01) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.43% ( 0) | 16.57% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 53.65% ( 0.01) | 46.35% ( -0) |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.2% ( 0.02) | 33.8% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.54% ( 0.02) | 70.46% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.05% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.88% 3-0 @ 5.42% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.19% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.64% 4-0 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.18% Total : 54.06% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.6% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.15% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.14% | 0-1 @ 6.07% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.14% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 22.78% |
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