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League One | Gameweek 8
Mar 7, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
P

Barnsley
3 - 1
Portsmouth

Norwood (17'), Cadden (20'), Cole (60')
Kitching (37')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Bishop (49')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Barnsley 1-1 Portsmouth

Both teams have proven to be tough to beat in recent times, and with three of the last four competitive meetings between the two sides finishing all square, we think that Barnsley and Portsmouth will play out another draw on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
46.25% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08) 25.83% (0.029 0.03) 27.92% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.71% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.97% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)52.03% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.24% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)73.76% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Barnsley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.53% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)22.47% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.98% (-0.11 -0.11)56.02% (0.11000000000001 0.11)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)33.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.08% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)69.92% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Barnsley 46.25%
    Portsmouth 27.92%
    Draw 25.83%
BarnsleyDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 11.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.17% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.51% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.55% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 46.25%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.48% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.04% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.83%
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.76% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.52% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.85% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 27.92%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Barnsley
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 4-1 Derby
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-4 Barnsley
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Bolton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 4-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 1-0 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 14 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Plymouth 3-1 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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