SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 60.1%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 18.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
60.1% ( 5.11) | 21.1% ( -1.67) | 18.79% ( -3.45) |
| Both teams to score 55.93% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.87% ( 2.81) | 41.12% ( -2.82) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.48% ( 2.81) | 63.51% ( -2.81) |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.7% ( 2.57) | 13.29% ( -2.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.88% ( 4.96) | 40.11% ( -4.97) |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.5% ( -1.8) | 35.49% ( 1.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.74% ( -1.91) | 72.26% ( 1.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterborough United | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 9.61% ( 0.55)1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 6.69% ( 0.65)3-0 @ 6.46% ( 0.9)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 3.38% ( 0.59)4-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.7)4-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.24)5-1 @ 1.36% ( 0.34)5-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.37)Other @ 3.34% Total : 60.1% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.84) 2-2 @ 5.15% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.63)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 21.1% | 1-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.72) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.93)0-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.63)2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.35)Other @ 2.73% Total : 18.79% |
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