Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 53.91%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.77%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
-0.1) 
0.05) 
