Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-0 (8.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Portsmouth in this match.