Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 54.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 22.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.