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League One | Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 at 3pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
CU

Northampton
2 - 1
Cambridge

Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Northampton Town 1-1 Cambridge United

There is very little between these two teams in the league table right now with both of them having tough starts to this season. That is something that could end up being reflected on the day in what is likely going to be a cagey match. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.74%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.2%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
50.49% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03) 25.82% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 23.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.09% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.04% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)54.96% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)76.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.19% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)21.81% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.98% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)55.02% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.014000000000003 0.01)38.5% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.75% (0.013999999999999 0.01)75.24% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 50.49%
    Cambridge United 23.68%
    Draw 25.82%
Northampton TownDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 12.78%
2-0 @ 9.74% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.29% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.72% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.25%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 1.8% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 50.49%
1-1 @ 12.2%
0-0 @ 8.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.44% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.82%
0-1 @ 8.02% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.85% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.22% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 23.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: MK Dons 3-2 Northampton
Tuesday, November 21 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 1-3 Barrow
Saturday, November 4 at 1.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Derby 4-0 Northampton
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 2-1 Northampton
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-0 Cambridge
Saturday, November 11 at 12pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 4-1 Spurs U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Bracknell Town
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wycombe 0-0 Cambridge
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 0-0 Portsmouth
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One


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