Portsmouth carry significant momentum into Tuesday's contest, and we think that the leaders will continue their promotion push by claiming all three points against a Cambridge side that has tended to struggle on the road this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 63.6%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 16.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.92%) and 1-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.
