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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
B

Carlisle
0 - 1
Blackpool


Harris (83')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dembele (1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Carlisle United 0-2 Blackpool

Blackpool may have lost their last two away matches, but we think that the Tangerines will have the quality required to claim a relatively comfortable victory over League One's basement side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 60.3%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 17.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.92%) and 1-2 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.5%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Blackpool in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Blackpool.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
17.61% (-0.0010000000000012 -0) 22.09% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 60.3% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Both teams to score 50.39% (-0.145 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.63% (-0.189 -0.19)47.37% (0.183 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.41% (-0.174 -0.17)69.59% (0.17 0.17)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.48% (-0.116 -0.12)40.52% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.87% (-0.104 -0.1)77.13% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.72% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)15.28% (0.074999999999999 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.02% (-0.145 -0.15)43.98% (0.141 0.14)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 17.61%
    Blackpool 60.29%
    Draw 22.08%
Carlisle UnitedDrawBlackpool
1-0 @ 5.59% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 2.53% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 1.43% (-0.006 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 17.61%
1-1 @ 10.5% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.19% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 11.63% (0.06 0.06)
0-2 @ 10.92% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.87% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 6.84% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 6.18% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-4 @ 3.21% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.79% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.21% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.09% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 60.29%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Carlisle
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Carlisle
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 2-2 Stevenage
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Shrewsbury 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 0-0 Wycombe
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Blackpool
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 1-0 Blackpool
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 0-1 Blackpool
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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