Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 12.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Peterborough United | Draw | Carlisle United |
70.6% ( -0.31) | 17.19% ( 0.16) | 12.22% ( 0.14) |
Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.16) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.61% ( -0.44) | 36.39% ( 0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.48% ( -0.48) | 58.52% ( 0.47) |
Peterborough United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.82% ( -0.19) | 9.18% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.9% ( -0.44) | 31.1% ( 0.44) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.92% ( -0.06) | 41.08% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.37% ( -0.05) | 77.62% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Peterborough United | Draw | Carlisle United |
2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.62% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.11% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.47% Total : 70.59% | 1-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 4.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.19% | 1-2 @ 3.56% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.26% 1-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 12.22% |
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