Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
46.02% ( 0) | 26.45% ( -0) | 27.53% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.34% ( 0.01) | 54.66% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.01% ( 0.01) | 75.99% ( -0.01) |
Cheltenham Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.29% ( 0.01) | 23.7% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.17% ( 0.01) | 57.83% ( -0.01) |
Carlisle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65% ( 0) | 35% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.25% ( 0) | 71.74% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Cheltenham Town | Draw | Carlisle United |
1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.01% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.44% | 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.53% |
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