This match looks routine on paper due to the recent form and league positions of both teams, and while anything can happen in football it should be a simple win for Leyton Orient.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 47.18%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 25.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 2-1 (8.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
0.43) 
-0.16) 
