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League One | Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
CU

Exeter
0 - 0
Cambridge


Purrington (39'), Niskanen (45+1')
FT

Andrew (27'), Taylor (31'), Digby (50'), Kachunga (56')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Cambridge United

Cambridge have been dismal on the road so far this season, but they were minutes away from claiming a draw against Oxford having drawn away to Charlton Athletic in Harris' first away match in charge. Exeter have improved at home lately, but remain in a difficult position in the table. As such, we can envisage Cambridge finally ending their winless streak on their travels on Saturday, and putting a sizeable gap between themselves and the relegation zone in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (9.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.72%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (7.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
51.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.65% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 23.84% (0.02 0.02)
Both teams to score 51.72% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.73% (0.12 0.12)50.27% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.78% (0.108 0.11)72.22% (-0.107 -0.11)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.5% (0.050000000000011 0.05)19.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.61% (0.082000000000001 0.08)51.39% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.25% (0.085999999999999 0.09)35.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.48% (0.088000000000001 0.09)72.52% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 51.5%
    Cambridge United 23.84%
    Draw 24.65%
Exeter CityDrawCambridge United
1-0 @ 11.39% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 9.31% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.22% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.07% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.13% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.07% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 51.5%
1-1 @ 11.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.97% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.93% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.65%
0-1 @ 7.17% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.03% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.27% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 23.84%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Blackpool 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-1 Carlisle
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Reading 3-2 Exeter
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 0-0 Portsmouth
Friday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Wycombe
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in League One
Last Game: Blackburn 5-2 Cambridge
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cambridge 0-2 Leyton Orient
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Cambridge
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-0 Exeter
Friday, December 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Cambridge 2-1 Blackpool
Saturday, December 16 at 3pm in League One


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