Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (11.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0) 
