While Wigan did suffer a somewhat unexpected defeat in midweek, we expect that they will bounce back with a solid performance in this one. The hosts have looked poor over their past two matches this season, and while we feel they will get on the scoresheet, the visitors should outscore them by the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.
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