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WA
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 8, 2023 at 8pm UK
Racecourse Ground, Wrexham
WL

Wrexham
1 - 0
Wigan

Wrexham win 4-2 on penalties

Forde (45+4'), Palmer (68'), Barnett (75')
FT
(aet)

Smith (20'), Sze (45')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One

We say: Wrexham 1-2 Wigan Athletic

With the league priority for Wrexham and Wigan, both sides could make changes for Tuesday's EFL Cup tie, but we still think that the Latics will have enough quality in their lineup to edge out the League Two side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 56.79%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 22.08% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.03%) and 1-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-2 (5.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
56.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 21.13%22.08% (0.004999999999999 0)
Both teams to score 61.3% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.55% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.3% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.7% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Wrexham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.2% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)12.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.89% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)39.11% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Wigan Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (0.0049999999999955 0)29.7% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.24% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.76% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Wrexham 56.79%
    Wigan Athletic 22.08%
    Draw 21.13%
WrexhamDrawWigan Athletic
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 6.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 5.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.06%
4-1 @ 3.44%
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 2.09%
5-1 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.16%
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 56.79%
1-1 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 5.92% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 21.13%
1-2 @ 5.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.61%
0-2 @ 2.8%
2-3 @ 2.4% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 22.08%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Wrexham 3-5 MK Dons
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Man Utd 1-3 Wrexham
Wednesday, July 26 at 3.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Chelsea 5-0 Wrexham
Thursday, July 20 at 12am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-1 Wrexham
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 22 at 6.30pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 3-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Derby 1-2 Wigan
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 0-1 Everton
Saturday, July 22 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Rotherham
Monday, May 8 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Reading 1-1 Wigan
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 2-1 Millwall
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship


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