Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.68% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
