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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2022 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
FT

Burton Albion
3 - 2
Fleetwood

Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 4-2 Fleetwood
Saturday, April 30 at 12.30pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 2-2 Fleetwood Town

Given both sides' struggles for victories recently, we see a draw as the most likely outcome. They will each see it as a good opportunity to reverse their fortunes and chances could be abundant, given their shared defensive frailties, but we ultimately expect them to cancel one another out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 51.11%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
51.11%24.3%24.59%
Both teams to score 53.6%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.83%48.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.67%70.33%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15%18.85%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7%50.3%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.05%33.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.37%70.63%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 51.1%
    Fleetwood Town 24.59%
    Draw 24.3%
Burton AlbionDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.63%
2-0 @ 8.91%
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.96%
3-2 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.23%
4-0 @ 2.07%
4-2 @ 1.21%
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 51.1%
1-1 @ 11.53%
0-0 @ 6.4%
2-2 @ 5.2%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.3%
0-1 @ 6.91%
1-2 @ 6.23%
0-2 @ 3.73%
1-3 @ 2.24%
2-3 @ 1.87%
0-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 24.59%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 4-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 5-2 Burton Albion
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 1-1 Burton Albion
Tuesday, February 22 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 3-0 Burton Albion
Saturday, February 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-1 Bolton
Tuesday, February 15 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sunderland 3-1 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 8 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-2 Ipswich
Saturday, March 5 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, March 1 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-3 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 26 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 2-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, February 8 at 7.45pm in League One


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