Until Burton are mathematically safe from relegation, they will remain focused on getting the point that they require to secure their third-tier status for another 12 months. However, we feel that the extra freedom will benefit Accrington, who could add a 12th home win to their collection. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 49.28%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Burton Albion
49.28%	23.93%	26.79%

Both teams to score 56.93%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.24%

44.76%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.88%

67.12%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.74%

18.26%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.69%

49.3%

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.65%

30.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.46%

66.54%

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 49.28%

Burton Albion 26.79%

Draw 23.93%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Burton Albion
2-1 @ 9.55% 1-0 @ 9.42% 2-0 @ 8.01% 3-1 @ 5.42% 3-0 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 3.23% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.93% 4-2 @ 1.37% Other @ 3.49% Total : 49.28%	1-1 @ 11.23% 2-2 @ 5.7% 0-0 @ 5.54% 3-3 @ 1.28% Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 6.7% 0-1 @ 6.61% 0-2 @ 3.94% 1-3 @ 2.66% 2-3 @ 2.26% 0-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 3.05% Total : 26.79%