This could be a Christmas cracker with both teams scoring plenty of goals in recent weeks. Northampton's home form is strong, but Oxford clearly possess greater technical ability.
As such, we do not think that either manager would be disappointed with gaining a point. Although this would not be enough to move Oxford into the automatic promotion positions, it would be a decent result to build on.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 34.55% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.06) 
0.07) 
