Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 54.24%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Cheltenham Town
54.24% ( -0.3)	24.88% ( -0.33)	20.88% ( 0.63)

Both teams to score 47.41% (

1.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.88% (

1.89)

54.12% (

-1.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

1.55)

75.54% (

-1.55)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

0.63)

19.92% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

52.05% (

-1)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.2% (

1.76)

40.8% (

-1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.63% (

1.54)

77.37% (

-1.54)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 54.23%

Cheltenham Town 20.88%

Draw 24.88%

Port Vale	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.72) 2-0 @ 10.57% ( -0.37) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.13) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.17) 4-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.11) 4-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.71% Total : 54.23%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( -0.62) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.75% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.18) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.24% Total : 20.88%