Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
-0.56) 
0.75) 
