Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.13%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.