Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.

Result
Accrington Stanley	Draw	Cheltenham Town
41.03% ( 0.39)	25.95% ( 0.06)	33.02% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 53.84% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

-0.36)

50.43% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.64% (

-0.32)

72.36% (

0.32)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7% (

0.04)

24.3% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33% (

0.05)

58.67% (

-0.06)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.12% (

-0.46)

28.88% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.25% (

-0.58)

64.75% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Accrington Stanley 41.03%

Cheltenham Town 33.02%

Draw 25.95%

Accrington Stanley	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 9.93% ( 0.15) 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.46% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.85% Total : 41.03%	1-1 @ 12.33% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.95%	0-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.66% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.17% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 33.02%