Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.72%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Accrington Stanley in this match.
0.39) 
-0.45) 
