At the same time as Bristol Rovers are welcoming a couple of names back from suspension, Accrington Stanley have suffered injury after injury over the past couple of weeks, and the hosts did not demonstrate any profligacy in their defeat to Lincoln.
Barton's side will also be the fresher of the two teams due to their lack of midweek EFL Trophy commitments, and we can picture the Pirates claiming a long-awaited against a Stanley side who do not possess a penchant for goal-laden showings.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
-0.15) 
0.22) 
