Cheltenham head into the game in good form, having comprehensively defeated ninth-placed Wycombe Wanderers in their last match, but they have won just one of their last four home games.
Considering just eight points separate the two sides in the standings, we expect the most likely result to be a draw, with both teams likely to get on the scoresheet, given Charlton's poor defensive record.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.65%. A win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.
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