With both teams almost completely safe from any lingering fears of relegation, we expect this to be a slightly more entertaining match than the goalless stalemate played out in Gloucestershire last month.
However, both managers are keen to build on a strong defence, hence why these sides have averaged scoring fewer than one goal per game across the course of the game. We can envisage a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.
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