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League One | Gameweek 20
Dec 2, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Valley
CT

Charlton
0 - 1
Cheltenham

 
FT(HT: 0-0)
May (84')
Bonds (38'), Southwood (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Charlton Athletic 1-2 Cheltenham Town

Charlton were seconds away from passage to the third round of the FA Cup last weekend before a last-minute equaliser from Stockport, with the Addicks' defensive record showing no signs of improving any point soon. Cheltenham have put that awful loss against Alvechurch behind them by going three unbeaten and could be on for another win at The Valley on Friday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Charlton AthleticDrawCheltenham Town
60.97% (-3.314 -3.31) 21.14% (1.241 1.24) 17.89% (2.073 2.07)
Both teams to score 54.03% (0.235 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.2% (-1.88 -1.88)42.8% (1.879 1.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.8% (-1.894 -1.89)65.2% (1.892 1.89)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.44% (-1.534 -1.53)13.56% (1.533 1.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.34% (-3.156 -3.16)40.66% (3.156 3.16)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.5% (1.355 1.36)37.49% (-1.358 -1.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.72% (1.306 1.31)74.27% (-1.308 -1.31)
Score Analysis
    Charlton Athletic 60.97%
    Cheltenham Town 17.89%
    Draw 21.14%
Charlton AthleticDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.16% (0.262 0.26)
2-0 @ 10.14% (-0.34 -0.34)
2-1 @ 9.96% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.76% (-0.641 -0.64)
3-1 @ 6.63% (-0.365 -0.37)
4-0 @ 3.38% (-0.542 -0.54)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.392 -0.39)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.62% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 1.35% (-0.31 -0.31)
5-1 @ 1.32% (-0.246 -0.25)
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 60.97%
1-1 @ 9.97% (0.609 0.61)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.412 0.41)
2-2 @ 4.88% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 21.14%
0-1 @ 4.99% (0.57 0.57)
1-2 @ 4.89% (0.465 0.47)
0-2 @ 2.45% (0.358 0.36)
1-3 @ 1.6% (0.205 0.21)
2-3 @ 1.6% (0.121 0.12)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 17.89%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Stockport
Saturday, November 26 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Plymouth 3-2 Charlton
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 3-3 Charlton
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, November 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 4-1 Coalville Town
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Forest Green 1-1 Cheltenham (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, November 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Wycombe
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Ipswich 1-1 Cheltenham
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 Alvechurch
Saturday, November 5 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-0 MK Dons
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, October 25 at 7.45pm in League One


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