Charlton were seconds away from passage to the third round of the FA Cup last weekend before a last-minute equaliser from Stockport, with the Addicks' defensive record showing no signs of improving any point soon.
Cheltenham have put that awful loss against Alvechurch behind them by going three unbeaten and could be on for another win at The Valley on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 60.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.