Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 56.47%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.82%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.35%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
