Oxford are full of goals and will have been boosted by their impressive win at Charlton on Saturday. Crewe will be the fresher of the two sides, having not played at the weekend, but we are still expecting the away team to have too much quality in this contest, predicting a comfortable success for Robinson's side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 62.38%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 17.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 1-0 (4.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
