Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
