MX23RW : Sunday, January 1 23:26:26
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Sunday, January 1
Feb 5, 2022 at 3pm UK at Greenhous Meadow
Shrewsbury
1 - 1
Fleetwood
Leahy (48' pen.)
Leahy (69')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pilkington (21')
(47'), Lane (79'), Johnson (90+2')
Camps (90+3')

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Fleetwood Town

While Shrewsbury picked up a dominant 3-0 win in the reverse fixture, we see this being a far tighter affair, with two sides desperate to climb away from the bottom end of the division. On this occasion, we cannot quite split the teams who are both looking to end brief winless runs, with their efforts likely to cancel one another out in a tense battle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 41.28%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 31.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawFleetwood Town
41.28%27.61%31.1%
Both teams to score 48.05%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.48%57.52%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.69%78.31%
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.59%27.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.11%62.88%
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.2%33.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.54%70.46%
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 41.28%
    Fleetwood Town 31.09%
    Draw 27.61%
Shrewsbury TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.99%
2-1 @ 8.42%
2-0 @ 7.76%
3-1 @ 3.63%
3-0 @ 3.35%
3-2 @ 1.97%
4-1 @ 1.18%
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 41.28%
1-1 @ 13%
0-0 @ 9.26%
2-2 @ 4.57%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.61%
0-1 @ 10.04%
1-2 @ 7.05%
0-2 @ 5.45%
1-3 @ 2.55%
0-3 @ 1.97%
2-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 31.09%

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League One Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Plymouth ArgylePlymouth25175346262056
2Ipswich TownIpswich24147346242249
3Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds24147340182249
4Barnsley22124630181240
5Derby CountyDerby23108529171238
6Wycombe WanderersWycombe2511593326738
7Bolton WanderersBolton2310762720737
8Peterborough UnitedPeterborough24112113931835
9Port Vale2410592732-535
10Exeter CityExeter259793836234
11Bristol Rovers259794042-234
12Portsmouth2271052927231
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood2461172825329
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd247892927229
15Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2485112329-629
16Charlton AthleticCharlton2461083635128
17Lincoln CityLincoln2261062227-528
18Cheltenham TownCheltenham2384111825-728
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge2373132134-1324
20Accrington StanleyAccrington2257102134-1322
21Burton Albion2557133250-1822
22Morecambe2449112434-1021
23MK Dons2463152336-1321
24Forest Green RoversForest Green2555152149-2820
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