Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 45.6%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 27.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.96%) and 0-2 (8.55%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
-0.08) 
0.11) 
