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League One | Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brisbane Road
OU

Leyton Orient
2 - 3
Oxford Utd

Stevens (48' og.), Sotiriou (64')
Wellens (60'), Brown (67'), Pratley (78')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Rodrigues (32', 46'), Bodin (45+2')
Harris (59'), Moore (66')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Leyton Orient 1-2 Oxford United

Despite seeing their manager depart in the week, Oxford will carry momentum into Saturday's contest following three consecutive victories, and we think that they will edge out Leyton Orient at Brisbane Road to continue their winning run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.62%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 0-1 (8.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Leyton OrientDrawOxford United
39.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.62% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.61% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.31% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.3% (0.0019999999999953 0)48.69%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.19% (0.00099999999999767 0)70.81% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.83%24.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.5% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)58.5% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.95% (0.0049999999999955 0)27.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.58% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Leyton Orient 39.77%
    Oxford United 34.61%
    Draw 25.62%
Leyton OrientDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 9.29% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-1 @ 8.62%
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-1 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.12% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67%
4-1 @ 1.45%
4-0 @ 1.11%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 39.77%
1-1 @ 12.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.63%
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.55%
1-2 @ 7.94% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 5.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.46%
0-3 @ 2.44% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.13%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 34.61%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-2 Portsmouth
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Leyton Orient 3-1 Carlisle
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Leyton Orient
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 1-1 Barnsley
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Carlisle 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Chelsea U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-2 Wycombe
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Wigan 2-0 Oxford Utd
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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