While Cheltenham have shown signs of encouragement in recent weeks, they are still yet to pick up an away victory this season.
However, we still think they will do enough to collect a point, with their hosts currently winless in seven league games.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 51.85%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.