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League One | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Road
CT

Blackpool
3 - 2
Cheltenham

Lavery (18'), Rhodes (32'), Dembele (41')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Goodwin (44', 86')
Long (36'), Freestone (75')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Blackpool 1-0 Cheltenham Town

Cheltenham's confidence will be significantly boosted by their last two results, but they are yet to prove they can compete under the road having blanked in all six league outings this season. Blackpool are not exactly full of goals themselves under Critchley, but with Rhodes doing his best to change that, we expect them to narrowly get the job done on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackpool win with a probability of 59.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.7%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.6%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackpool would win this match.

Result
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
59.48% (1.107 1.11) 22.29% (-0.32 -0.32) 18.23% (-0.791 -0.79)
Both teams to score 50.92% (-0.396 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.74% (0.183 0.18)47.26% (-0.186 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.51% (0.168 0.17)69.49% (-0.173 -0.17)
Blackpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.434 0.43)15.51% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.802 0.8)44.41% (-0.806 -0.81)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.27% (-0.784 -0.78)39.73% (0.781 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.6% (-0.731 -0.73)76.4% (0.72799999999999 0.73)
Score Analysis
    Blackpool 59.47%
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Draw 22.29%
BlackpoolDrawCheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.48% (0.08 0.08)
2-0 @ 10.7% (0.24 0.24)
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.65% (0.242 0.24)
3-1 @ 6.14% (0.095999999999999 0.1)
4-0 @ 3.1% (0.157 0.16)
4-1 @ 2.86% (0.086 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.013 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.07% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 59.47%
1-1 @ 10.6% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
2-2 @ 4.56% (-0.093999999999999 -0.09)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 22.29%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.168 -0.17)
1-2 @ 4.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.63% (-0.136 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.51% (-0.088 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.4% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 18.23%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Blackpool
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 3-0 Stevenage
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 5-2 Liverpool U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Charlton 2-2 Blackpool
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Blackpool 1-3 Derby
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-0 Cambridge
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Newport
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cheltenham 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-2 Fleetwood
Tuesday, October 3 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Lincoln 2-0 Cheltenham
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One


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