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League One | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
AS

Crewe
0 - 1
Accrington


Offord (55'), Murphy (56'), Ramsay (78'), Finney (87')
Offord (89')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Nottingham (17')
Sykes (38'), Pell (50'), Trafford (62'), Charles (68'), Mumbongo (90+7'), Bishop (90+7')
Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Accrington Stanley.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 37.87%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 35.14% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 (10.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawAccrington Stanley
37.87%26.98%35.14%
Both teams to score 50.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.65%54.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.27%75.73%
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17%27.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58%63.42%
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.53%29.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.53%65.47%
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 37.87%
    Accrington Stanley 35.13%
    Draw 26.98%
Crewe AlexandraDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 8.2%
2-0 @ 6.71%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-0 @ 2.86%
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 37.87%
1-1 @ 12.81%
0-0 @ 8.2%
2-2 @ 5.01%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.98%
0-1 @ 10.01%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 6.12%
1-3 @ 3.19%
0-3 @ 2.49%
2-3 @ 2.04%
1-4 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 35.13%

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