Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 31.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood.
