Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.