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CU
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 31, 2021 at 7pm UK
Abbey Stadium
OU

Cambridge
4 - 1
Oxford Utd

Smith (45', 45+3'), Knibbs (80'), Yearn (90+2')
May (63')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Agyei (71')
Cooper (42'), Johnson (53')
McNally (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 24.94% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.66%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
24.94%24%51.06%
Both teams to score 54.93%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.41%46.59%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.14%68.86%
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.36%
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.73%18.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.68%49.32%
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 24.94%
    Oxford United 51.05%
    Draw 24%
Cambridge UnitedDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 6.68%
2-1 @ 6.33%
2-0 @ 3.72%
3-1 @ 2.35%
3-2 @ 2%
3-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 24.94%
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 5.99%
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24%
0-1 @ 10.18%
1-2 @ 9.65%
0-2 @ 8.66%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.91%
2-3 @ 3.05%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2.09%
2-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 51.05%

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