Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 46.17%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 28.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
