MX23RW : Friday, August 19 14:13:53
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Friday, August 19
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK at Loftus Road
QPR
1 - 0
Derby
Amos (88')
Dozzell (59'), Field (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Lawrence (56')
Lawrence (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Queens Park Rangers 2-1 Derby County

Despite their outstanding results at home, Derby have still lost eight successive league games on the road, so it is very difficult to predict anything other than a home win on Monday. The hosts have been far from their best so Derby should give them an almighty contest, but if QPR can build on their draw last time out, then they should have just enough in them to record a narrow victory to potentially condemn their visitors to relegation. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queens Park Rangers win with a probability of 52.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.73%) and 2-0 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Queens Park Rangers in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Queens Park Rangers.

Result
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
52.85%23.87%23.29%
Both teams to score 53.53%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.44%47.56%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.23%69.77%
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05%17.95%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.22%48.79%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.24%34.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.51%71.49%
Score Analysis
    Queens Park Rangers 52.84%
    Derby County 23.29%
    Draw 23.86%
Queens Park RangersDrawDerby County
1-0 @ 10.71%
2-1 @ 9.73%
2-0 @ 9.2%
3-1 @ 5.57%
3-0 @ 5.27%
3-2 @ 2.94%
4-1 @ 2.39%
4-0 @ 2.26%
4-2 @ 1.26%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.84%
1-1 @ 11.32%
0-0 @ 6.24%
2-2 @ 5.14%
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.86%
0-1 @ 6.59%
1-2 @ 5.98%
0-2 @ 3.48%
1-3 @ 2.11%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 23.29%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huddersfield 2-2 QPR
Friday, April 15 at 5.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-1 QPR
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 QPR
Tuesday, April 5 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 0-2 Fulham
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: QPR 1-3 Peterborough
Sunday, March 20 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Nott'm Forest 3-1 QPR
Wednesday, March 16 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 2-1 Fulham
Friday, April 15 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Derby
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-0 Preston
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, March 19 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 3-1 Derby
Tuesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Bournemouth 2-0 Derby
Saturday, March 12 at 3pm in Championship
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