Fleetwood have been the draw specialists at home turf in recent weeks, and we would not put it past the hosts to record another stalemate against an Oxford side whose confidence keeps on taking hit after hit. The U's are sure to take advantage of Fleetwood's recent absentee issues, but Crainey's side still have plenty to fight for and are capable of holding their out-of-sorts visitors to a draw here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 51.96%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford United
24.52%	23.52%	51.96%

Both teams to score 56.06%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.12%

44.88%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.76%

67.24%

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.77%

32.23%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.28%

68.72%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.71%

17.29%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.37%

47.63%

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 24.52%

Oxford United 51.96%

Draw 23.52%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 6.31% 2-1 @ 6.27% 2-0 @ 3.57% 3-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.08% 3-0 @ 1.35% Other @ 2.58% Total : 24.52%	1-1 @ 11.07% 0-0 @ 5.57% 2-2 @ 5.5% 3-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.52%	0-1 @ 9.78% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-2 @ 8.58% 1-3 @ 5.69% 0-3 @ 5.02% 2-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.5% 0-4 @ 2.2% 2-4 @ 1.41% Other @ 3.84% Total : 51.96%