Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (9.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
-0.16) 
0.02) 
