Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.09% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.53%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
