Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.81%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 24.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.55%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
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