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League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 3, 2022 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
CA

Bolton
3 - 1
Charlton

Bradley (9'), Lee (41'), Johnston (76')
Iredale (65'), Jones (79')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Fraser (4')
Lavelle (75')
Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Charlton Athletic.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
52.27% (0.601 0.6) 24.73% (-0.219 -0.22) 23% (-0.382 -0.38)
Both teams to score 50.49% (0.217 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.59% (0.507 0.51)51.41% (-0.507 -0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.77% (0.441 0.44)73.22% (-0.441 -0.44)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.35% (0.44399999999999 0.44)19.64% (-0.444 -0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.39% (0.716 0.72)51.61% (-0.716 -0.72)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.84% (-0.077999999999996 -0.08)37.16% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.05% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)73.95% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 52.26%
    Charlton Athletic 23%
    Draw 24.73%
Bolton WanderersDrawCharlton Athletic
1-0 @ 11.87% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-0 @ 9.67% (0.071 0.07)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.24% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 5.19% (0.098 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.57% (0.043 0.04)
4-0 @ 2.13% (0.074 0.07)
4-1 @ 2.11% (0.068 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.05% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 52.26%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 7.3% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-2 @ 4.74% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 24.73%
0-1 @ 7.23% (-0.163 -0.16)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.088 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.92% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.56% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.71%
Total : 23%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bolton 4-1 Crewe
Tuesday, August 30 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Plymouth 2-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-4 Aston Villa
Tuesday, August 23 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Bolton 0-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Bolton 1-0 Morecambe
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Port Vale 0-0 Bolton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 3-0 Gillingham
Wednesday, August 31 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Wycombe 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, August 27 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Walsall 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, August 23 at 7pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Charlton 1-1 Cambridge
Saturday, August 20 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Charlton 5-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, August 16 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Sheff Weds 1-0 Charlton
Saturday, August 13 at 3pm in League One


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